A new Toronto mayoral shows John Tory still in the lead for mayor but contains some area results which seem, by any statistical reality, to be anomalies. For example, Tory is shown to be ahead by 39 percent in public suppoert overall but to be trailing Doug Ford in North York by an enormous 12 percent. The North York numbers show Ford at 44 percent, Tory at 32 percent. The Star, which sponsored the poll, also notes that the North York numbers seem odd. The breakdown in Etobicoke-York is Tory 43 percent support while Mr. Ford has 38 percent. These results may not be impossible but they have made some journalists skeptical about their accuracy. Tory is said to be doing well in what is called old Toronto and East York (including South Bayview) beating Ford by a huge margin of 44 percent to 16 percent. It will be useful in the analysis of “Ford Nation” when the election is over to see if the differences in North York prove ture. In Sarborough, where Mr. Ford might have been expected to have a clear lead, he is ahead by a single point in this poll, 39 percent to 38 percent. City-wide, the poll shows Tory at 39 percent with Ford and Chow at 33 and 23 percent respectively. The Forum Research poll is said to have been interactive which usually means it was done by robo-call.
